Will Chris Wright say “Hormuz”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Chris Wright said “Hormuz” at 10 of 10 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 9, 2026 (100%), most recently on Oct 4, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 78% (n=10, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 5 episodes we have transcripts for (Mar 8, 2026 – Oct 4, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 5.

78%from settlement history only · n=10counts: named speaker only
Last 10
10/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes
Streak
said the last 10 times
Counts
named speaker only
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Chris Wright

Hormuz

Probability
78% · n=10
Settled
10/10 (100%)
Last 5 episodes
said in 5 of 5

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Chris Wright say during Face the Nation? · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: named speaker only

1 counted.

Chris WrightguestIn transcript

Well, because we've got increasing supplies coming out of the Strait of Hormuz, and they've continued to rise over the last months, over the last…

What will Chris Wright say during his critical minerals fireside chat? · not listed

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What will Chris Wright say during Daily Caller Live? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Chris Wright say during Face the Nation? · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: named speaker only

1 counted; 1 by speakers the rule does not count.

Chris WrightguestIn transcript

…slowly failing for them. Our exports of oil through the Strait of Hormuz are at the highest they've been since the conflict started, but they're…

MARGARET BRENNANhostIn transcript

…mean, to that point, Secretary Bessent said something like the Strait of Hormuz will be irrelevant in two years. It takes time to build pipelines…

Not counted under this market’s speaker rule.

What will Chris Wright say during Fox News Sunday? · said 1 time (counts)

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Find “Hormuz” in this transcript

What will Chris Wright say during the Department of Energy Budget Hearing? · settled yes

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What will Chris Wright say during his hearing on the Nuclear Security Program? · settled yes

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What will Chris Wright say during Face the Nation? · said 3 times (counts)

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Find “Hormuz” in this transcript

What will Chris Wright say during the Budget Hearing on Department of Energy? · settled yes

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What will Chris Wright say during Meet the Press? · settled yes

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Every settled listing

newest first · 10 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Oct 4, 2026HormuzKalshiYes1
Sep 17, 2026HormuzKalshiYes–
Sep 6, 2026HormuzKalshiYes1
Sep 6, 2026HormuzKalshiYes1
Jun 10, 2026HormuzKalshiYes–
May 13, 2026HormuzKalshiYes–
May 10, 2026HormuzKalshiYes3
Apr 15, 2026HormuzKalshiYes–
Mar 15, 2026HormuzKalshiYes–
Mar 9, 2026HormuzKalshiYes2

Questions

How often does Chris Wright say “Hormuz”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Chris Wright said “Hormuz” at 10 of 10 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 9, 2026 (100%), most recently on Oct 4, 2026.
What is the probability Chris Wright says “Hormuz” next time?
78%, from settlement history (n=10). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Chris Wright: ‘Hormuz’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/chris-wright/words/hormuz (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=chris-wright&word=hormuz · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=chris-wright&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP