Will Chris Wright say “California”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Chris Wright said “California” at 5 of 7 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 15, 2026 (71%), most recently on Oct 4, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 70% (n=7, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 5 episodes we have transcripts for (Mar 8, 2026 – Oct 4, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2.

70%from settlement history only · n=7counts: named speaker only
Last 10
5/7Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no no yes yes yes
Streak
said the last 3 times
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=chris-wright&word=california

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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Chris Wright

California

Probability
70% · n=7
Settled
5/7 (71%)
Last 5 episodes
said in 2 of 5

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Chris Wright say during Face the Nation? · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: named speaker only

1 counted.

Chris WrightguestIn transcript

…we're living with two refineries that were recently closed, large refineries in California that Gavin Newsom forced the closure of, and, frankly, 15 years of…

What will Chris Wright say during his critical minerals fireside chat? · not listed

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What will Chris Wright say during Daily Caller Live? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Chris Wright say during Face the Nation? · not listed

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What will Chris Wright say during Fox News Sunday? · not listed

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What will Chris Wright say during the Department of Energy Budget Hearing? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Chris Wright say during his hearing on the Nuclear Security Program? · settled no

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What will Chris Wright say during Face the Nation? · not said

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What will Chris Wright say during the Budget Hearing on Department of Energy? · settled yes

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What will Chris Wright say during Meet the Press? · settled yes

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Every settled listing

newest first · 7 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Oct 4, 2026CaliforniaKalshiYes1
Sep 17, 2026CaliforniaKalshiYes–
Jun 10, 2026CaliforniaKalshiYes–
May 13, 2026CaliforniaKalshiNo–
May 10, 2026CaliforniaKalshiNo0
Apr 15, 2026CaliforniaKalshiYes–
Mar 15, 2026CaliforniaKalshiYes–

Questions

How often does Chris Wright say “California”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Chris Wright said “California” at 5 of 7 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 15, 2026 (71%), most recently on Oct 4, 2026.
What is the probability Chris Wright says “California” next time?
70%, from settlement history (n=7). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Chris Wright: ‘California’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/chris-wright/words/california (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=chris-wright&word=california · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=chris-wright&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP