Will Chris Wright say “Wind / Windmill”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Chris Wright said “Wind / Windmill” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 15, 2026 (100%), most recently on Jun 10, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 72% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 5 transcripts we have, of any kind (5 episodes; Mar 8, 2026 – Oct 4, 2026), since fewer than 2 hearings have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Chris Wright
Wind / Windmill
- Probability
- 72% · n=2
- Settled
- 2/2 (100%)
- Last 5 transcripts
- said in 0 of 5
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have this transcript yet.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 10, 2026 | Wind / Windmill |  Kalshi | Yes |
| Apr 15, 2026 | Wind / Windmill | Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Chris Wright say “Wind / Windmill”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Chris Wright said “Wind / Windmill” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 15, 2026 (100%), most recently on Jun 10, 2026.
- What is the probability Chris Wright says “Wind / Windmill” next time?
- 72%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Chris Wright: ‘Wind / Windmill’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/chris-wright/words/wind-or-windmill (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=chris-wright&word=wind%20%2F%20windmill · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=chris-wright&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP