Will Chris Wright say “Tariff”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Chris Wright did not say “Tariff” at any of the 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 9, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 34% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 5 transcripts we have, of any kind (5 episodes; Mar 8, 2026 – Oct 4, 2026), since fewer than 2 panels have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 0/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 4 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Chris Wright
Tariff
- Probability
- 34% · n=4
- Settled
- 0/4 (0%)
- Last 5 transcripts
- said in 0 of 5
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (5 episodes); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…decision by October the 18th as to whether he's going to put tariffs on the biggest buyers. That would be China, and that would be…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…bad, or truly horrible." What he was zeroing in on are the tariffs and the fuel and fertilizer costs that are hitting rural voters. I…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…to them. We have surging inflation, sky rocketing gas prices. The Trump tariffs have raised costs across many products across America. People are drowning in…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often does Chris Wright say “Tariff”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Chris Wright did not say “Tariff” at any of the 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 9, 2026.
- What is the probability Chris Wright says “Tariff” next time?
- 34%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Chris Wright: ‘Tariff’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/chris-wright/words/tariff (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=chris-wright&word=tariff · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=chris-wright&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP