Will Chris Wright say “Trump”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Chris Wright said “Trump” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 15, 2026 (100%), most recently on Jun 10, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 72% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 5 transcripts we have, of any kind (5 episodes; Mar 8, 2026 – Oct 4, 2026), since fewer than 2 hearings have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 3.
- Last 10
- 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Chris Wright
Trump
- Probability
- 72% · n=2
- Settled
- 2/2 (100%)
- Last 5 transcripts
- said in 3 of 5
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (5 episodes); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…is building. With control of the House and Senate at stake, President Trump has been on a red state road trip to get Republicans to…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…Labor Day tomorrow, the end of the summer driving season. And the Trump administration a couple weeks ago rolled out a change in regulations that'll…
…you a bunch of money. That was clearly a failed thing. President Trump is a much clearer, black-and-white, stronger leader, which means we're going to…
President Trump's bold leadership is, enough's enough. We're going to put it to an end.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often does Chris Wright say “Trump”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Chris Wright said “Trump” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 15, 2026 (100%), most recently on Jun 10, 2026.
- What is the probability Chris Wright says “Trump” next time?
- 72%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Chris Wright: ‘Trump’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/chris-wright/words/trump (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=chris-wright&word=trump · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=chris-wright&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP