Mike Waltz: Hearing, Mar 20, 2026
Kalshi What will Mike Waltz say during the UN Oversight Field Hearing?
Markets
17 words · 11 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Budget | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| China | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Fraud / Waste | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Geneva | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Guterres / Secretary General | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Israel / Israeli | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Oil | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Taxpayer | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Ukraine | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Venezuela | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| America First | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Hormuz | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| NATO | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Signal | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Terrorist / Terrorism | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Woke / DEI | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXCONGRESSMENTION-26MAR20 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP