Will Mike Waltz say “Ukraine”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Mike Waltz said “Ukraine” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Mar 20, 2026.
In the one transcript we have (1 press briefing; Feb 20, 2025), since fewer than 2 hearings have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only).
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Mike Waltz
Ukraine
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 1 transcript
- said in 1 of 1
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (1 press briefing); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…with their neighbor under President Bush, with Georgia; under President Obama, with Ukraine in 2014; not under President Trump, 45; and again with President Biden…
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2026 | Ukraine |  Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Mike Waltz say “Ukraine”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Mike Waltz said “Ukraine” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Mar 20, 2026.
- What is the probability Mike Waltz says “Ukraine” next time?
- 61%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Mike Waltz: ‘Ukraine’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/mike-waltz/words/ukraine (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=mike-waltz&word=ukraine · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=mike-waltz&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP