Will Mike Waltz say “Terrorist / Terrorism”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Mike Waltz said “Terrorist / Terrorism” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 20, 2026 (50%), most recently on Apr 15, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 53% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.

In the one transcript we have (1 press briefing; Feb 20, 2025), since fewer than 2 hearings have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only).

53%from settlement history only · n=2counts: named speaker only
Last 10
1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Mike Waltz

Terrorist / Terrorism

Probability
53% · n=2
Settled
1/2 (50%)
Last 1 transcript
said in 1 of 1

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have (1 press briefing); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Mike WaltzspeakerPress Secretary Karoline Leavitt Briefs Members of the Media, Feb. 20, 2025 · Feb 20, 2025 · 19:48In transcript

We've also taken action to eliminate other terrorist organizations in the Middle East. We drove -- before the President was even in office, he started…

What will Mike Waltz say during Meet the Press? · not listed

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What will Mike Waltz say during Meet the Press? · not listed

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What will Mike Waltz say during the hearing on reforming the UN? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Mike Waltz say during the UN Oversight Field Hearing? · settled no

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Every settled listing

newest first · 2 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Apr 15, 2026Terrorist / TerrorismKalshiYes
Mar 20, 2026Terrorist / TerrorismKalshiNo

Questions

How often does Mike Waltz say “Terrorist / Terrorism”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Mike Waltz said “Terrorist / Terrorism” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 20, 2026 (50%), most recently on Apr 15, 2026.
What is the probability Mike Waltz says “Terrorist / Terrorism” next time?
53%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Mike Waltz: ‘Terrorist / Terrorism’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/mike-waltz/words/terrorism-or-terrorist (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=mike-waltz&word=terrorism%20%2F%20terrorist · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=mike-waltz&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP