Will Mike Waltz say “Trump”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Mike Waltz said “Trump” at 4 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 20, 2026 (100%), most recently on Jul 26, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 66% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
In the one transcript we have (1 press briefing; Feb 20, 2025), since fewer than 2 episodes have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only).
- Last 10
- 4/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 4 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Mike Waltz
Trump
- Probability
- 66% · n=4
- Settled
- 4/4 (100%)
- Last 1 transcript
- said in 1 of 1
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (1 press briefing); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…the world back to where it was at the end of President Trump's first term, which is a world of peace, prosperity, and -- and…
We don’t have this transcript yet.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often does Mike Waltz say “Trump”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, Mike Waltz said “Trump” at 4 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 20, 2026 (100%), most recently on Jul 26, 2026.
- What is the probability Mike Waltz says “Trump” next time?
- 66%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Mike Waltz: ‘Trump’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/mike-waltz/words/trump (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=mike-waltz&word=trump · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=mike-waltz&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP