# Mike Waltz (mike-waltz) · hearing 2026-03-20 · 17 words · K k:KXCONGRESSMENTION-26MAR20 · as_of 2026-10-25T15:50:18Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-03-20 · tn/th last 1 transcripts of any kind 2025-02-20 (under 2 hearing transcripts) · every p is a prior (base rate: no settled history of these words) · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src prior · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXCONGRESSMENTION-26MAR20 ({word} = w of K rows): If Michael Waltz says {word} as part of House Appropriations Committee: Oversight Field Hearing – Accountability and Reform at the United Nations, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	tn	th	p	res
America First	america first	0	0		1	1	0.44	no
Budget	budget	0	0		1	0	0.44	yes
China	china	0	0		1	1	0.44	yes
Fraud / Waste	fraud|waste	0	0		1	0	0.44	yes
Geneva	geneva	0	0		1	0	0.44	yes
Guterres / Secretary General	guterre|secretary general	0	0		1	1	0.44	yes
Hormuz	hormuz	0	0		1	0	0.44	no
Israel / Israeli	israel|israeli	0	0		1	1	0.44	yes
NATO	nato	0	0		1	1	0.44	no
Oil	oil	0	0		1	0	0.44	yes
Signal	signal	0	0		1	0	0.44	no
Taxpayer	taxpayer	0	0		1	1	0.44	yes
Terrorist / Terrorism	terrorism|terrorist	0	0		1	1	0.44	no
Trump	trump	0	0		1	1	0.44	yes
Ukraine	ukraine	0	0		1	1	0.44	yes
Venezuela	venezuela	0	0		1	1	0.44	yes
Woke / DEI	dei|woke	0	0		1	0	0.44	no