Will Mike Waltz say “Taxpayer”?

As of Oct 25, 2026, Mike Waltz said “Taxpayer” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 20, 2026 (100%), most recently on Apr 15, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 66% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.

In the one transcript we have (1 press briefing; Feb 20, 2025), since fewer than 2 hearings have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only).

66%from settlement history only · n=2counts: named speaker only
Last 10
2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
Streak
said the last 2 times
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Mike Waltz

Taxpayer

Probability
66% · n=2
Settled
2/2 (100%)
Last 1 transcript
said in 1 of 1

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have (1 press briefing); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Mike WaltzspeakerPress Secretary Karoline Leavitt Briefs Members of the Media, Feb. 20, 2025 · Feb 20, 2025 · 28:26In transcript

…that it is unacceptable that the United States and the United States taxpayer continues to bear the burden not only of the cost of the…

What will Mike Waltz say during Meet the Press? · not listed

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What will Mike Waltz say during Meet the Press? · not listed

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What will Mike Waltz say during the hearing on reforming the UN? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Mike Waltz say during the UN Oversight Field Hearing? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

Every settled listing

newest first · 2 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Apr 15, 2026TaxpayerKalshiYes
Mar 20, 2026TaxpayerKalshiYes

Questions

How often does Mike Waltz say “Taxpayer”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Mike Waltz said “Taxpayer” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 20, 2026 (100%), most recently on Apr 15, 2026.
What is the probability Mike Waltz says “Taxpayer” next time?
66%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Mike Waltz: ‘Taxpayer’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/mike-waltz/words/taxpayer (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=mike-waltz&word=taxpayer · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=mike-waltz&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP