Will Mike Waltz say “America First”?

As of Oct 25, 2026, Mike Waltz did not say “America First” at any of the 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 20, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 45% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.

In the one transcript we have (1 press briefing; Feb 20, 2025), since fewer than 2 episodes have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only).

45%from settlement history only · n=3counts: named speaker only
Last 10
0/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no
Streak
not said the last 3 times
Counts
named speaker only
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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Mike Waltz

America First

Probability
45% · n=3
Settled
0/3 (0%)
Last 1 transcript
said in 1 of 1

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have (1 press briefing); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Mike WaltzspeakerPress Secretary Karoline Leavitt Briefs Members of the Media, Feb. 20, 2025 · Feb 20, 2025 · 41:08In transcript

…the -- in the press, but we're full speed ahead to get the president's team in place so we can implement his America First policy.

What will Mike Waltz say during Meet the Press? · settled no

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What will Mike Waltz say during Meet the Press? · settled no

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What will Mike Waltz say during the hearing on reforming the UN? · not listed

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What will Mike Waltz say during the UN Oversight Field Hearing? · settled no

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Every settled listing

newest first · 3 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Jul 26, 2026America FirstKalshiNo
Apr 19, 2026America FirstKalshiNo
Mar 20, 2026America FirstKalshiNo

Questions

How often does Mike Waltz say “America First”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Mike Waltz did not say “America First” at any of the 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 20, 2026.
What is the probability Mike Waltz says “America First” next time?
45%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Mike Waltz: ‘America First’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/mike-waltz/words/america-first (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=mike-waltz&word=america%20first · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=mike-waltz&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP