ABC World News Tonight, October 13, 2026
On the Oct 13, 2026 episode of ABC World News Tonight, 9 of the 18 words Kalshi listed were said; Parrot’s count agreed with 17 of 18 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
18 words · 9 settled yes · our count agreed on 17 of 18- Kalshi: any host or reporter
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump 5+ times | Yes | 11 | 11 | ✓ | 70%n=56 from settlement history | – |
| Roller Coaster | Yes | 9 | 9 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Pope Leo | Yes | 6 | 6 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Guilfoyle | Yes | 6 | 6 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Resign / Resignation | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Flood / Flooding | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 46%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Saudi | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 46%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 34%n=46 from settlement history | – |
| Zacharia | Yes | 0 | 0 | ✗ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Hurricane / Isaias | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 59%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Iran / Iranian | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 55%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Russia / Russian | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 52%n=17 from settlement history | – |
| Ilhan / Omar | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Immigrant / Immigration | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Ukraine / Ukrainian / Zelenskyy | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 42%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Protest / Protester | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 41%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Tupac | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 40%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| ICE | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 38%n=36 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 23:45 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsMachine transcript · ABC World News Tonight podcast audio (ABC), machine transcript · Source · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.
11 matches for “Trump”; 5 quoted, at least 25 words apart.
…Tonight, nine other roller coasters have now been shut down. Tonight, President Trump's ambassador to Greece, Kimberly Guilfoyle, stepping down just a short time after…
…And we're thinking of his entire family tonight. Faith, thanks. Tonight, President Trump's ambassador to Greece, Kimberly Guilfoyle, stepping down over allegations of misconduct just…
…Scott. Tonight, the stunning fall of Kimberly Guilfoyle, once engaged to the president's son, Donald Trump Jr., and one of the president's most enthusiastic supporters.
…a spate of embarrassing corruption stories, including an allegation she asked a Trump donor to pay her $100,000 Amex bill. New White House Press Secretary…
…White House press secretary who held her first briefing today. I want to thank President Trump for his trust that he has placed in me.
Where the listed words were said
Trump has touted Zachariah as an attorney. Reporters asking where she passed the bar exam. She said she's an attorney. Where did she pass the…
…U.S., the other news this Tuesday night, a deadly accident on the roller coaster at Six Flags over Georgia and what we're now learning about…
…most trusted. Now on Disney Plus every night. Tonight, the breaking news. Pope Leo has lung cancer. Tonight, the Vatican has now revealed that Pope…
The president swiftly distancing himself from Guilfoyle, who was engaged to his son for four years. She was almost a member of your family. How…
…there, Lee. Hey, David. Thunderstorms breaking out from Texas to Missouri tonight. That's where we have severe thunderstorm watches and flood watches. That includes Kansas
…code podcast. Taxes and fees apply. Tonight, the FBI has arrested a Saudi national who was working in the U.S. as an engineer for artificial…
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/world-news-tonight:2026-10-13:tv_episode · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=world-news-tonight:2026-10-13:tv_episode · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP