Will “Pope Leo” be said on World News Tonight next time?
As of Oct 26, 2026, “Pope Leo” was said on World News Tonight in 3 of 5 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Oct 12, 2026 (60%), most recently on Oct 14, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 47% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Oct 13, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, any host or reporter) in 3. 1 later episode without a transcript yet (Oct 26, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 3/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- any host or reporter
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
ABC World News Tonight
Pope Leo
- Probability
- 47% · n=5
- Settled
- 3/5 (60%)
- Last 8 episodes
- said in 3 of 8
Next listing counts: any host or reporter
Counts: any host or reporter
6 counted.
…911. Oh my God. What the dispatcher teaches them on the phone. Tonight, Pope Leo's lung cancer and what we've now learned about his condition.
…right, Trevor Alt reporting. Thanks, Trevor. We're going to turn now to Pope Leo and his new battle against lung cancer. There is news tonight…
Counts: any host or reporter
6 counted.
…most trusted. Now on Disney Plus every night. Tonight, the breaking news. Pope Leo has lung cancer. Tonight, the Vatican has now revealed that Pope…
…here with the news from the Vatican, revealing late this afternoon that Pope Leo has lung cancer. The Pope undergoing surgery today, the lower lobe…
Every settled listing
newest first · 5 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often is “Pope Leo” said on World News Tonight?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, “Pope Leo” was said on World News Tonight in 3 of 5 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Oct 12, 2026 (60%), most recently on Oct 14, 2026.
- What is the probability “Pope Leo” is said on World News Tonight next time?
- 47%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: any host or reporter.
Cite parrot.markets, “World News Tonight: ‘Pope Leo’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/world-news-tonight/words/pope-leo (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=world-news-tonight&word=pope%20leo · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=world-news-tonight&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP