Will “Ukraine / Ukrainian / Zelenskyy” be said on World News Tonight next time?
As of Oct 23, 2026, “Ukraine / Ukrainian / Zelenskyy” was said on World News Tonight in 4 of 11 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Sep 23, 2026 (36%), most recently on Oct 14, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 40% (n=11, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Oct 12, 2026 – Oct 22, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, any host or reporter) in 5. 1 later episode without a transcript yet (Oct 23, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 4/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no no no yes yes no yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- any host or reporter
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
ABC World News Tonight
Ukraine / Ukrainian / Zelenskyy
- Probability
- 40% · n=11
- Settled
- 4/11 (36%)
- Last 8 episodes
- said in 5 of 8
Next listing counts: any host or reporter
Counts: any host or reporter
11 counted.
…to plunge. Lee Goldberg is here with the forecast. Tonight, Russia's new assault on Ukraine, and President Zelensky says they feel betrayed by the U.S.
…Lee, thank you. Overseas tonight, Russia had a punishing new attack on Ukraine. And tonight, President Zelensky now says they feel betrayed by the U.S.…
Counts: any host or reporter
5 counted.
Ukrainian President Zelenskyy calls the agreement, quote, weak. It gives Putin money and he spends money only on this war. Kill us. Kill our children.…
…no agreement. And on both sides, strikes continue. You said Russia and Ukraine agreed to a ceasefire, but both sides say they have not agreed…
Counts: any host or reporter
4 counted.
…job. And he called Guilfoyle a strong ambassador. David. Jay O'Brien in Washington. Thank you, Jay. We turned out of the war in Ukraine tonight.
Every settled listing
newest first · 11 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | Ukraine / Ukrainian / Zelenskyy |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Ukraine / Ukrainian / Zelenskyy | Kalshi | Yes | 11 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Ukraine / Ukrainian / Zelenskyy | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Ukraine / Ukrainian / Zelenskyy | Kalshi | Yes | 5 |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Ukraine / Ukrainian / Zelenskyy | Kalshi | Yes | 4 |
| Oct 5, 2026 | Ukraine / Ukrainian / Zelenskyy | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Ukraine / Ukrainian / Zelenskyy | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Ukraine / Ukrainian / Zelenskyy | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Sep 28, 2026 | Ukraine / Ukrainian / Zelenskyy | Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Ukraine / Ukrainian / Zelenskyy | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Ukraine / Ukrainian / Zelenskyy | Kalshi | No | 0 |
Questions
- How often is “Ukraine / Ukrainian / Zelenskyy” said on World News Tonight?
- As of Oct 23, 2026, “Ukraine / Ukrainian / Zelenskyy” was said on World News Tonight in 4 of 11 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Sep 23, 2026 (36%), most recently on Oct 14, 2026.
- What is the probability “Ukraine / Ukrainian / Zelenskyy” is said on World News Tonight next time?
- 40%, from settlement history (n=11). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: any host or reporter.
Cite parrot.markets, “World News Tonight: ‘Ukraine / Ukrainian / Zelenskyy’ mention history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/world-news-tonight/words/ukraine-or-ukrainian-or-zelenskyy (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=world-news-tonight&word=ukraine%20%2F%20ukrainian%20%2F%20zelenskyy · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=world-news-tonight&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP