ABC World News Tonight, October 13, 2026
On the Oct 13, 2026 episode of ABC World News Tonight, 9 of the 18 words Kalshi listed were said; Parrot’s count agreed with 17 of 18 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
18 words · 9 settled yes · our count agreed on 17 of 18- Kalshi: any host or reporter
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump 5+ times | Yes | 11 | 11 | ✓ | 70%n=56 from settlement history | – |
| Roller Coaster | Yes | 9 | 9 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Pope Leo | Yes | 6 | 6 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Guilfoyle | Yes | 6 | 6 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Resign / Resignation | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Flood / Flooding | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 46%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Saudi | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 46%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 34%n=46 from settlement history | – |
| Zacharia | Yes | 0 | 0 | ✗ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Hurricane / Isaias | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 59%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Iran / Iranian | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 55%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Russia / Russian | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 52%n=17 from settlement history | – |
| Ilhan / Omar | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Immigrant / Immigration | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Ukraine / Ukrainian / Zelenskyy | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 42%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Protest / Protester | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 41%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Tupac | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 40%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| ICE | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 38%n=36 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 23:45 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsMachine transcript · ABC World News Tonight podcast audio (ABC), machine transcript · Source · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.
9 matches for “Roller Coaster”; 5 quoted, at least 25 words apart.
…live at the Vatican. Also tonight, the deadly accident at Six Flags, a father of two falling to his death from the popular roller coaster.
…U.S., the other news this Tuesday night, a deadly accident on the roller coaster at Six Flags over Georgia and what we're now learning about…
Tonight, nine other roller coasters have now been shut down. Here's Faith Abube. Tonight, new details surrounding that tragic accident at a Georgia amusement park…
Operators immediately halting the roller coaster. Watch as people were forced to evacuate one by one. Witnesses tell ABC News that one of the restraints…
And David, behind me is that roller coaster and its abandoned cars. Tonight, a relative for Hassan Karim telling me that he was a dedicated…
Where the listed words were said
Once engaged to Donald Trump Jr. And a vocal supporter of the president at conventions and rallies. what the president said about her today. Here's…
…most trusted. Now on Disney Plus every night. Tonight, the breaking news. Pope Leo has lung cancer. Tonight, the Vatican has now revealed that Pope…
But now Guilfoyle forced out after a spate of embarrassing corruption stories, including an allegation she asked a Trump donor to pay her $100,000 Amex…
…been shut down. Tonight, President Trump's ambassador to Greece, Kimberly Guilfoyle, stepping down just a short time after the White House called for her resignation.
…there, Lee. Hey, David. Thunderstorms breaking out from Texas to Missouri tonight. That's where we have severe thunderstorm watches and flood watches. That includes Kansas
…code podcast. Taxes and fees apply. Tonight, the FBI has arrested a Saudi national who was working in the U.S. as an engineer for artificial…
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/world-news-tonight:2026-10-13:tv_episode · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=world-news-tonight:2026-10-13:tv_episode · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP