ABC World News Tonight, October 13, 2026
On the Oct 13, 2026 episode of ABC World News Tonight, 9 of the 18 words Kalshi listed were said; Parrot’s count agreed with 17 of 18 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
18 words · 9 settled yes · our count agreed on 17 of 18- Kalshi: any host or reporter
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump 5+ times | Yes | 11 | 11 | ✓ | 70%n=56 from settlement history | – |
| Roller Coaster | Yes | 9 | 9 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Pope Leo | Yes | 6 | 6 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Guilfoyle | Yes | 6 | 6 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Resign / Resignation | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Flood / Flooding | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 46%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Saudi | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 46%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 34%n=46 from settlement history | – |
| Zacharia | Yes | 0 | 0 | ✗ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Hurricane / Isaias | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 59%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Iran / Iranian | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 55%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Russia / Russian | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 52%n=17 from settlement history | – |
| Ilhan / Omar | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Immigrant / Immigration | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Ukraine / Ukrainian / Zelenskyy | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 42%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Protest / Protester | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 41%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Tupac | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 40%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| ICE | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 38%n=36 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 23:45 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsMachine transcript · ABC World News Tonight podcast audio (ABC), machine transcript · Source · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.
1 match for “FAA”; 1 quoted, at least 25 words apart.
…clearance. Check your tapes on it, please. I'll do the same. The FAA tonight investigating the incident. So investigators want to look at why did…
Where the listed words were said
…Tonight, nine other roller coasters have now been shut down. Tonight, President Trump's ambassador to Greece, Kimberly Guilfoyle, stepping down just a short time after…
…U.S., the other news this Tuesday night, a deadly accident on the roller coaster at Six Flags over Georgia and what we're now learning about…
…most trusted. Now on Disney Plus every night. Tonight, the breaking news. Pope Leo has lung cancer. Tonight, the Vatican has now revealed that Pope…
…entire family tonight. Faith, thanks. Tonight, President Trump's ambassador to Greece, Kimberly Guilfoyle, stepping down over allegations of misconduct just a short time after the…
We have asked Ambassador Guilfoyle to resign. She has been a wonderful asset to the team and we wish her well. About an hour later,…
…there, Lee. Hey, David. Thunderstorms breaking out from Texas to Missouri tonight. That's where we have severe thunderstorm watches and flood watches. That includes Kansas
…code podcast. Taxes and fees apply. Tonight, the FBI has arrested a Saudi national who was working in the U.S. as an engineer for artificial…
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/world-news-tonight:2026-10-13:tv_episode · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=world-news-tonight:2026-10-13:tv_episode · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP