ABC World News Tonight, October 8, 2026
On the Oct 8, 2026 episode of ABC World News Tonight, 8 of the 17 words Kalshi listed were said; Parrot’s count agreed with all 17 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
17 words · 8 settled yes · our count agreed on 17 of 17- Kalshi: any host or reporter
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hurricane / Isaias | Yes | 13 | 13 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Trump 5+ times | Yes | 9 | 9 | ✓ | 67%n=54 from settlement history | – |
| Maduro | Yes | 7 | 7 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Lincoln / Navy | Yes | 5 | 5 | ✓ | 41%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Ukraine / Ukrainian / Zelenskyy | Yes | 4 | 4 | ✓ | 29%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Russia / Russian | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | 45%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| SpaceX / NASA | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | 30%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Protester | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Pneumonic / Plague | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 59%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Iran / Iranian | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 58%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Cornell | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Nobel | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Prince Andrew | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Solar / Aurora | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 38%n=44 from settlement history | – |
| Abortion / Mifepristone | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Measles | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 26%n=9 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 23:45 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsMachine transcript · ABC World News Tonight podcast audio (ABC), machine transcript · Source · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.
0 matches for “Ukraine / Ukrainian / Zelenskyy”.
Where the listed words were said
…Disney Plus. Most watched, most trusted. Now on Disney Plus every night. Tonight here, the breaking news. Millions now bracing for this Category 2 hurricane.
…a knife. Tonight, the allegations against the U.S. ambassador to Greece, Kimberly Guilfoyle, once engaged to Donald Trump Jr. and close to the Trump family.
…to the hospital, what we know. Also tonight, former Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro and his wife in federal court here in New York, now charged…
…breaking tonight, Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth on the deck of the USS Lincoln, revealing late today his plan to publicly execute the Fort Hood shooter…
…job. And he called Guilfoyle a strong ambassador. David. Jay O'Brien in Washington. Thank you, Jay. We turned out of the war in Ukraine tonight.
…by the standards of this war, this was a devastating attack by Russia. A glide bomb exploding next to two packed buses in eastern Ukraine.
We have visual confirmation of Splashdown. NASA's SpaceX Crew-12 back home tonight, successfully splashing down in the Pacific Ocean after 235 days on the International…
…Terrific images from Ukraine tonight, Ian. Thank you. Tonight in France, meanwhile, protesters clashing with police during a second day now of nationwide demonstrations. Look…
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/world-news-tonight:2026-10-08:tv_episode · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=world-news-tonight:2026-10-08:tv_episode · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP