ABC World News Tonight, October 2, 2026
On the Oct 2, 2026 episode of ABC World News Tonight, 3 of the 16 words Kalshi listed were said; Parrot’s count agreed with all 16 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
16 words · 3 settled yes · our count agreed on 16 of 16- Kalshi: any host or reporter
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Romo | Yes | 5 | 5 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Dubai / Tel Aviv | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 55%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Unemployment | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump 5+ times | No | 3 | 3 | ✓ | 68%n=50 from settlement history | – |
| Helicopter | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 52%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Iran / Iranian | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 43%n=42 from settlement history | – |
| ICE | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 37%n=33 from settlement history | – |
| Terror / Terrorist / Terrorism | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 37%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Affordable Care Act / Obamacare / ACA | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Amazon | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Cancer | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Reflecting Pool / Ballroom | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| SpaceX / NASA | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| SNAP / Food Stamp | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 30%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Ebola | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 27%n=7 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 23:45 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsMachine transcript · ABC World News Tonight podcast audio (ABC), machine transcript · Source · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.
Where the listed words were said
Former NFL star Tony Romo is out at CBS after his recent DUI arrest. We're tracking powerful storms on this Friday night. The flood risk…
…also hear from the hero pilot who survived from his hospital bed tonight. ABC's Tom Sufi Burridge leading us off again tonight from Tel Aviv.
…numbers. Only 29,000 jobs added in September, less than half of what was expected, unemployment ticking up to 4.2 percent. And Americans' paychecks are not
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/world-news-tonight:2026-10-02:tv_episode · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=world-news-tonight:2026-10-02:tv_episode · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP