Will “Terror / Terrorist / Terrorism” be said on World News Tonight next time?

As of Oct 27, 2026, “Terror / Terrorist / Terrorism” was said on World News Tonight in 1 of 4 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Sep 28, 2026 (25%), most recently on Sep 28, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 35% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Oct 13, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, any host or reporter) in 2. 1 later episode without a transcript yet (Oct 26, 2026) is not counted.

35%from settlement history only · n=4counts: any host or reporter
Last 10
1/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no no
Streak
not said the last 3 times
Counts
any host or reporter
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

ABC World News Tonight

Terror / Terrorist / Terrorism

Probability
35% · n=4
Settled
1/4 (25%)
Last 8 episodes
said in 2 of 8

Next listing counts: any host or reporter

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Speaker not labelledreporterABC World News Tonight, October 23, 2026 · Oct 23, 2026 · 11:59In transcript

TONIGHT. THIS IS THE MOMENT A HORRIFIC AND UNPRECEDENTED TERROR ATTACK UNFOLDED AT A GREEK ORTHODOX CHURCH IN JORDAN. CHILLING SURVEILLANCE VIDEO SHOWS THREE GUNMEN…

Speaker not labelledreporterABC World News Tonight, October 19, 2026 · Oct 19, 2026 · 10:25In transcript

Tonight, on our way into Ukraine, we witness Russia's terror firsthand. Our team runs to a nearby bunker, the sound of danger roaring overhead. This…

What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 4 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Oct 2, 2026Terror / Terrorist / TerrorismKalshiNo0
Sep 30, 2026Terror / Terrorist / TerrorismKalshiNo1 ✗ (our count disagrees with the settlement)
Sep 29, 2026Terror / Terrorist / TerrorismKalshiNo0
Sep 28, 2026Terror / Terrorist / TerrorismKalshiYes3

Questions

How often is “Terror / Terrorist / Terrorism” said on World News Tonight?
As of Oct 27, 2026, “Terror / Terrorist / Terrorism” was said on World News Tonight in 1 of 4 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Sep 28, 2026 (25%), most recently on Sep 28, 2026.
What is the probability “Terror / Terrorist / Terrorism” is said on World News Tonight next time?
35%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: any host or reporter.

Cite parrot.markets, “World News Tonight: ‘Terror / Terrorist / Terrorism’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/world-news-tonight/words/terror-or-terrorism-or-terrorist (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=world-news-tonight&word=terror%20%2F%20terrorism%20%2F%20terrorist · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=world-news-tonight&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP