Will “Cancer” be said on World News Tonight next time?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Cancer” was not said on World News Tonight in any of the 2 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Oct 1, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 33% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Oct 13, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, any host or reporter) in 4.
- Last 10
- 0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- any host or reporter
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearanceABC World News Tonight
Cancer
- Probability
- 33% · n=2
- Settled
- 0/2 (0%)
- Last 8 episodes
- said in 4 of 8
Next listing counts: any host or reporter
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…OFFICER? THERE'S MAJOR NEWS TONIGHT INVOLVING ONE OF THE DEADLIEST FORMS OF CANCER AND NOW A MAJOR BREAKTHROUGH. TONIGHT, THE TRUMP ADMINISTRATION STAFFER WHO HAS…
…tonight, there is news coming in on Pope Leo's health following lung cancer surgery and what we've just learned here. And the good Samaritan jumping…
…911. Oh my God. What the dispatcher teaches them on the phone. Tonight, Pope Leo's lung cancer and what we've now learned about his condition.
…Disney Plus every night. Tonight, the breaking news. Pope Leo has lung cancer. Tonight, the Vatican has now revealed that Pope Leo, the first American…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shownQuestions
- How often is “Cancer” said on World News Tonight?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “Cancer” was not said on World News Tonight in any of the 2 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Oct 1, 2026.
- What is the probability “Cancer” is said on World News Tonight next time?
- 33%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: any host or reporter.
Cite parrot.markets, “World News Tonight: ‘Cancer’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/world-news-tonight/words/cancer (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=world-news-tonight&word=cancer · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=world-news-tonight&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP