Will “Cancer” be said on World News Tonight next time?

As of Oct 25, 2026, “Cancer” was not said on World News Tonight in any of the 2 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Oct 1, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 33% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Oct 13, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, any host or reporter) in 4.

33%from settlement history only · n=2counts: any host or reporter
Last 10
0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
Streak
not said the last 2 times
Counts
any host or reporter
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

ABC World News Tonight

Cancer

Probability
33% · n=2
Settled
0/2 (0%)
Last 8 episodes
said in 4 of 8

Next listing counts: any host or reporter

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Speaker not labelledreporterABC World News Tonight, October 23, 2026 · Oct 23, 2026 · 1:43In transcript

…OFFICER? THERE'S MAJOR NEWS TONIGHT INVOLVING ONE OF THE DEADLIEST FORMS OF CANCER AND NOW A MAJOR BREAKTHROUGH. TONIGHT, THE TRUMP ADMINISTRATION STAFFER WHO HAS…

Speaker not labelledreporterABC World News Tonight, October 21, 2026 · Oct 21, 2026 · 17:30In transcript

…tonight, there is news coming in on Pope Leo's health following lung cancer surgery and what we've just learned here. And the good Samaritan jumping…

Speaker not labelledreporterABC World News Tonight, October 14, 2026 · Oct 14, 2026 · 1:52In transcript

…911. Oh my God. What the dispatcher teaches them on the phone. Tonight, Pope Leo's lung cancer and what we've now learned about his condition.

Speaker not labelledreporterABC World News Tonight, October 13, 2026 · Oct 13, 2026 · 0:47In transcript

…Disney Plus every night. Tonight, the breaking news. Pope Leo has lung cancer. Tonight, the Vatican has now revealed that Pope Leo, the first American…

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Every settled listing

newest first · 2 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Oct 2, 2026CancerKalshiNo0
Oct 1, 2026CancerKalshiNo0

Questions

How often is “Cancer” said on World News Tonight?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Cancer” was not said on World News Tonight in any of the 2 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Oct 1, 2026.
What is the probability “Cancer” is said on World News Tonight next time?
33%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: any host or reporter.

Cite parrot.markets, “World News Tonight: ‘Cancer’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/world-news-tonight/words/cancer (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=world-news-tonight&word=cancer · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=world-news-tonight&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP