Zohran Mamdani: Remarks #2, Sep 15, 2026
Kalshi listed 13 words for Zohran Mamdani’s remarks on Sep 15, 2026; 4 settled Yes. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
13 words · 4 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Safe / Safer / Safety | Yes | 69%n=86 from settlement history | – |
| Trump / President | Yes | 45%n=113 from settlement history | – |
| NYPD | Yes | 39%n=124 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Yes | 19%n=30 from settlement history | – |
| Five Borough | No | 59%n=74 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | No | 57%n=125 from settlement history | – |
| Mexico / Mexican | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Immigrant / Immigration | No | 35%n=25 from settlement history | – |
| Childcare / Child Care | No | 31%n=44 from settlement history | – |
| Governor / Hochul | No | 31%n=87 from settlement history | – |
| Economy / Economic | No | 24%n=120 from settlement history | – |
| Grocery | No | 22%n=59 from settlement history | – |
| Billionaire | No | 5%n=83 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsOfficial transcript · Office of the Mayor of the City of New York (nyc.gov) · Source · Quotes of at most 25 words; the full text is at the source.
Where the listed words were said
Nothing about this rule will reduce waste, or keep Americans safer, or improve New Yorkers' lives. It is simply a vehicle for confusion and a…
We have among them New York Immigration Coalition President Murad Awawdeh. We have Make the Road Health Program Director Arlene Cruz. We have leaders from…
…of senior administration officials have a security clearance at this time. The NYPD also regularly briefs me on intelligence and investigations that do not involve…
…of Anthropic that these kinds of incidents are occurring at every single AI company, we should be seeing a far greater response from the federal…
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/zohran-mamdani:2026-09-15:remarks-833ad2 · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=zohran-mamdani:2026-09-15:remarks-833ad2 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP