ABC World News Tonight, August 28, 2026
On the Aug 28, 2026 episode of ABC World News Tonight, 8 of the 16 words Kalshi listed were said; Parrot’s count agreed with all 16 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
16 words · 8 settled yes · our count agreed on 16 of 16- Kalshi: any host or reporter
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ICE | Yes | 7 | 7 | ✓ | 31%n=24 from settlement history | – |
| Trump 5+ times | Yes | 5 | 5 | ✓ | 57%n=26 from settlement history | – |
| Nepal | Yes | 4 | 4 | ✓ | 53%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Iran 3+ times | Yes | 4 | 4 | ✓ | 43%n=35 from settlement history | – |
| Moon | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Warsh | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| NATO | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 40%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Pentagon | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 31%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Tornado | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 54%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Prince Harry / Meghan Markle | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 51%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Los Angeles | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Meta / Facebook / Instagram | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 42%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Bernie | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Norway | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| FDA | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| China / Chinese | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 27%n=3 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 23:45 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsMachine transcript · ABC World News Tonight podcast audio (ABC), machine transcript · Source · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.
Where the listed words were said
ICE set to deploy a new tool in its massive deportation campaign, Robot dogs with cameras that can see 360 degrees and even open doors.…
…human agents. Here's ABC's chief justice correspondent, Pierre Thomas. Tonight, as the Trump administration accelerates its massive deportation campaign, ICE is now putting in a…
…Tonight, breaking news. Incredible stories of survival amid the catastrophic flooding in Nepal and Tibet. An American survivor from California speaking out tonight, describing the…
Tonight, the U.S. war with Iran reaching a new milestone. Six months with no clear end in sight. Gas prices are still climbing. the economy…
…iconic singer dialing back her stage performances, plus the special honor for the crew of Artemis II months after their historic trip around the moon.
…So the Fed's predominant focus right now should be on prices. Kevin Warsh saying if inflation doesn't ease up soon, the central bank would have,…
…and abroad. A Secret Service robot dog seen here patrolling the grounds at Mar-a-Lago and the Secret Service recently using them at a NATO conference.
shut, though the Pentagon reports progress. We have successfully cleared sea mines in the straits, international shipping lanes. The war has upended global energy markets…
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/world-news-tonight:2026-08-28:tv_episode · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=world-news-tonight:2026-08-28:tv_episode · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP