Will “U-turn” be said at the next Prime Minister's Questions?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “U-turn” was said at the Prime Minister's Questions on 3 of 6 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Mar 11, 2026 (50%), most recently on Apr 15, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 40% (n=6, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 PMQs we have transcripts for (Jun 24, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0 of them.
- Last 10
- 3/6Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 3 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Prime Minister's Questions
U-turn
- Probability
- 40% · n=6
- Settled
- 3/6 (50%)
- Last 8 PMQs
- said in 0 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…put through significant distress throughout this process? Can he also assure them that, unlike the Labour precedent, there will be no Government U-turn on this?
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…his final appearances at the Dispatch Box, will he make one final U-turn? Will he scrap Labour’s disastrous grey-belt policy and help protect the precious…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 6 shown
PolymarketQuestions
- How often is “U-turn” said at the Prime Minister's Questions?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “U-turn” was said at the Prime Minister's Questions on 3 of 6 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Mar 11, 2026 (50%), most recently on Apr 15, 2026.
- What is the probability “U-turn” is said at the Prime Minister's Questions next time?
- 40%, from settlement history (n=6). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Prime Minister's Questions: ‘U-turn’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/prime-ministers-questions/words/u-turn (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=u%20turn · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP