Will “Thank you” be said 10+ times at the next Prime Minister's Questions?
As of Oct 28, 2026, “Thank you” was not said 10+ times at the Prime Minister's Questions on any of the 4 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jan 21, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 33% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 PMQs we have transcripts for (Jun 24, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (10+, named speaker only) in 0 of them.
- Last 10
- 0/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 4 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Prime Minister's Questions
Thank you 10+ times
- Probability
- 33% · n=4
- Settled
- 0/4 (0%)
- Last 8 PMQs
- said in 0 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…“Mr Manchester” on the front page of the Manchester Evening News today. Thank you, Pat, for your contribution to Manchester and to politics in our…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Q8. Thank you, Mr Deputy Speaker. [Interruption.] Mr Speaker—I apologise. BT Openreach identified Liverpool as one of its 30 national hubs. However, in July this…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Q9. Thank you, Mr Speaker, and welcome back. I also welcome the Prime Minister to his role. We have many shared passions—sport, music, and a…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Thank you, Mr Speaker, for your kind words. I must start by saying that I am truly horrified by the murder of Ann Widdecombe. She…
Thank you Mr Speaker. I was trying to do all this with as much good grace as I could, but I shall certainly miss these…
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2026 | Thank you 10+ times |  Polymarket | No | 0 |
| Feb 11, 2026 | Thank you 10+ times | Polymarket | No | – |
| Jan 28, 2026 | Thank you 10+ times | Polymarket | No | – |
| Jan 21, 2026 | Thank you 10+ times | Polymarket | No | – |
Questions
- How often is “Thank you 10+ times” said at the Prime Minister's Questions?
- As of Oct 28, 2026, “Thank you” was not said 10+ times at the Prime Minister's Questions on any of the 4 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jan 21, 2026.
- What is the probability “Thank you 10+ times” is said at the Prime Minister's Questions next time?
- 33%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Prime Minister's Questions: ‘Thank you 10+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 28, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/prime-ministers-questions/words/thank-you-10plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=thank%20you%20%2810%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP