What is the probability “Renewable” is said at the Prime Minister's Questions next time?

41%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.

Who has to say it for the market to count?

Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Will “Renewable” be said at the next Prime Minister's Questions?

Name: Prime Minister's Questions: “Renewable” mention history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

As of Oct 24, 2026, “Renewable” was said at the Prime Minister's Questions on 1 of 3 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Apr 15, 2026 (33%), most recently on Apr 29, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 41% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 PMQs we have transcripts for (Jun 24, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0 of them.

41%from settlement history only · n=3counts: named speaker only

Last 10: 1/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes
Streak: said last time
Counts: named speaker only

Updated Oct 24, 2026, 08:50 UTC

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Prime Minister's Questions

Renewable

Probability: 41% · n=3
Settled: 1/3 (33%)
Last 8 PMQs: said in 0 of 3 that name the speakers

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Andy BurnhamspeakerPrime Minister's Questions, 21 October 2026 · Oct 21, 2026In transcript

…things. First, it will allow us to build a bridge to a renewable future, because the resources that come in from this decision will allow…

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.