Will “Opportunity” be said at the next Prime Minister's Questions?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Opportunity” was said at the Prime Minister's Questions on 3 of 3 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jan 21, 2026 (100%), most recently on Feb 11, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 51% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 PMQs we have transcripts for (Jun 24, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 3 of them.
- Last 10
- 3/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 3 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Prime Minister's Questions
Opportunity
- Probability
- 51% · n=3
- Settled
- 3/3 (100%)
- Last 8 PMQs
- said in 3 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…of Oman on the occasion of the state visit, which is an opportunity to recognise the deep and historic ties between our countries and the…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…the right hon. Lady raised my comments, because it gives me an opportunity to say to the whole House how I intend to lead this…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…of England, so I thank my hon. Friend for giving me that opportunity—[Laughter.] Okay, I love the south of England; on this issue, I will…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…Gatwick’s expansion could provide Croydon’s young people with world-class employment and training opportunities close to their homes, but the previous Conservative Government’s cuts to rail…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…a promise to her. That is why we passed Ronan’s law, driven by Pooja’s inspirational campaign. I take the opportunity to thank her for that.
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2026 | Opportunity |  Polymarket | Yes |
| Jan 28, 2026 | Opportunity | Polymarket | Yes |
| Jan 21, 2026 | Opportunity | Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often is “Opportunity” said at the Prime Minister's Questions?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Opportunity” was said at the Prime Minister's Questions on 3 of 3 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jan 21, 2026 (100%), most recently on Feb 11, 2026.
- What is the probability “Opportunity” is said at the Prime Minister's Questions next time?
- 51%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Prime Minister's Questions: ‘Opportunity’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/prime-ministers-questions/words/opportunity (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=opportunity · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP