Will “Mr. Speaker” be said 15+ times at the next Prime Minister's Questions?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Mr. Speaker” was said 15+ times at the Prime Minister's Questions on 5 of 5 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jan 21, 2026 (100%), most recently on Mar 4, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 56% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 PMQs we have transcripts for (Jun 24, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (15+, named speaker only) in 0 of them.
- Last 10
- 5/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 5 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Prime Minister's Questions
Mr. Speaker 15+ times
- Probability
- 56% · n=5
- Settled
- 5/5 (100%)
- Last 8 PMQs
- said in 0 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…role they have played regarding the strait of Hormuz. As you say, Mr Speaker, today also marks the 60th anniversary of the Aberfan disaster. I…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…I am very happy for everything to be set out in full, Mr Speaker. That is why I asked the Greater Manchester combined authority, in…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…fund the military. I will tell you what he is funding though, Mr Speaker—Keir Starmer’s £35 billion surrender of the Chagos islands and its crucial…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…the longest statement in modern history. Thanks for your help with that, Mr Speaker. On my engagements, this evening I will join Their Majesties the…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Thank you, Mr Speaker, for your kind words. I must start by saying that I am truly horrified by the murder of Ann Widdecombe. She…
Every settled listing
newest first · 5 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2026 | Mr. Speaker 15+ times |  Polymarket | Yes |
| Feb 25, 2026 | Mr. Speaker 15+ times | Polymarket | Yes |
| Feb 11, 2026 | Mr. Speaker 15+ times | Polymarket | Yes |
| Jan 28, 2026 | Mr. Speaker 15+ times | Polymarket | Yes |
| Jan 21, 2026 | Mr. Speaker 15+ times | Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often is “Mr. Speaker 15+ times” said at the Prime Minister's Questions?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Mr. Speaker” was said 15+ times at the Prime Minister's Questions on 5 of 5 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jan 21, 2026 (100%), most recently on Mar 4, 2026.
- What is the probability “Mr. Speaker 15+ times” is said at the Prime Minister's Questions next time?
- 56%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Prime Minister's Questions: ‘Mr. Speaker 15+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/prime-ministers-questions/words/mr-speaker-15plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=mr%20speaker%20%2815%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP