Will “International” be said at the next Prime Minister's Questions?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “International” was said at the Prime Minister's Questions on 2 of 3 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jan 21, 2026 (67%), most recently on Jan 28, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 45% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 PMQs we have transcripts for (Jun 24, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 3 of them.
- Last 10
- 2/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Prime Minister's Questions
International
- Probability
- 45% · n=3
- Settled
- 2/3 (67%)
- Last 8 PMQs
- said in 3 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…that the right hon. Lady has read last week’s report from the International Monetary Fund, because if she had read it, she would see its…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…done a deal with Vladimir Putin to buy Russian diesel, ripping up international sanctions against Putin. The Prime Minister studiously avoided commenting on Trump’s behaviour…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…blackouts—presumably because he liked the music. But we now know what the international capital markets have made of that. Can he now, in front of…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…We have put the biggest investment into defence and security, and our international standing has been restored. We also pulled the lever on the individual…
…we buy British to create jobs here at home and strengthen our international leadership. Sunday marks the 78th birthday of the NHS, and I am…
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2026 | International |  Polymarket | No |
| Jan 28, 2026 | International | Polymarket | Yes |
| Jan 21, 2026 | International | Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often is “International” said at the Prime Minister's Questions?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “International” was said at the Prime Minister's Questions on 2 of 3 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jan 21, 2026 (67%), most recently on Jan 28, 2026.
- What is the probability “International” is said at the Prime Minister's Questions next time?
- 45%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Prime Minister's Questions: ‘International’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/prime-ministers-questions/words/international (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=international · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP