Will “Epstein” be said at the next Prime Minister's Questions?

As of Oct 24, 2026, “Epstein” was said at the Prime Minister's Questions on 1 of 15 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Feb 5, 2026 (7%), most recently on Feb 4, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 17% (n=15, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 PMQs we have transcripts for (Jun 24, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0 of them.

17%from settlement history only · n=15counts: named speaker only
Last 10
0/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no no no no no
Streak
not said the last 10 times
Counts
named speaker only
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Where it was said

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Prime Minister's Questions

Epstein

Probability
17% · n=15
Settled
1/15 (7%)
Last 8 PMQs
said in 0 of 3 that name the speakers

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Alex Davies-Jones (Pontypridd) (Lab)otherPrime Minister's Questions, 1 July 2026 · Jul 1, 2026In transcript

…joined in the Gallery by Lisa Phillips, a British survivor of Jeffrey Epstein’s horrific and despicable trafficking and abuse. Lisa’s bravery is to be commended,…

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

What will Andy Burnham say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event? · not listed

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What will Andy Burnham say during Prime Minister's Questions? · not listed

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What will Andy Burnham say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event? · not listed

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What will Andy Burnham say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event? · not listed

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What will Andy Burnham say during Prime Minister's Questions? · not listed

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What will Andy Burnham say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event? · not listed

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What will Andy Burnham say during Prime Minister's Questions? · not listed

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What will Andy Burnham say during Prime Minister's Questions? · not listed

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What will Andy Burnham say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event? · not listed

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What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 16 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Jun 17, 2026EpsteinKalshiNo0
Jun 10, 2026EpsteinKalshiNo0
Jun 3, 2026EpsteinKalshiNo0
May 20, 2026EpsteinPolymarketNo0
May 20, 2026EpsteinKalshiNo0
Apr 29, 2026EpsteinKalshiNo0
Apr 22, 2026EpsteinKalshiNo0
Apr 15, 2026EpsteinPolymarketNo0
Mar 25, 2026EpsteinPolymarketNo–
Mar 4, 2026EpsteinPolymarketNo–
Mar 4, 2026EpsteinKalshiNo0
Feb 25, 2026EpsteinKalshiNo0
Feb 19, 2026EpsteinKalshiNo–
Feb 12, 2026EpsteinKalshiNo0
Feb 11, 2026EpsteinPolymarketNo–
Feb 5, 2026EpsteinKalshiYes5

Questions

How often is “Epstein” said at the Prime Minister's Questions?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Epstein” was said at the Prime Minister's Questions on 1 of 15 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Feb 5, 2026 (7%), most recently on Feb 4, 2026.
What is the probability “Epstein” is said at the Prime Minister's Questions next time?
17%, from settlement history (n=15). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Prime Minister's Questions: ‘Epstein’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/prime-ministers-questions/words/epstein (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=epstein · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP