Will “Crisis” be said at the next Prime Minister's Questions?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Crisis” was not said at the Prime Minister's Questions on any of the 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Nov 12, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 37% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 PMQs we have transcripts for (Jun 24, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0 of them.
- Last 10
- 0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Prime Minister's Questions
Crisis
- Probability
- 37% · n=2
- Settled
- 0/2 (0%)
- Last 8 PMQs
- said in 0 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…is the Prime Minister now, and we are facing a global energy crisis. Drilling more oil and gas in the North sea would give us…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…a mental health condition, the wellbeing of our young people remains in crisis. In communities such as mine in Croydon East, where young people are…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…per head in England. When patients, including some young people, are in crisis, they can be sent hundreds of miles away, which undermines their recovery.…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…there is no way that we can end the cost of living crisis or cut the cost of borrowing for the Government. The answer is…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…taking beds out of community hospitals is not a solution for the crisis in social care? Why did he not prioritise fixing social care when…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown
PolymarketQuestions
- How often is “Crisis” said at the Prime Minister's Questions?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “Crisis” was not said at the Prime Minister's Questions on any of the 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Nov 12, 2025.
- What is the probability “Crisis” is said at the Prime Minister's Questions next time?
- 37%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Prime Minister's Questions: ‘Crisis’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/prime-ministers-questions/words/crisis (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=crisis · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP