Will “Thousand / Million / Billion” be said 15+ times at the next Prime Minister's Questions?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Thousand / Million / Billion” was said 15+ times at the Prime Minister's Questions on 4 of 6 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Nov 19, 2025 (67%), most recently on Dec 17, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 46% (n=6, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 PMQs we have transcripts for (Jun 24, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (15+, named speaker only) in 1 of them.
- Last 10
- 4/6Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes yes yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearancePrime Minister's Questions
Thousand / Million / Billion 15+ times
- Probability
- 46% · n=6
- Settled
- 4/6 (67%)
- Last 8 PMQs
- said in 1 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…warranty does not cover the lift and residents are being asked for £50,000 to fix it. Will the Prime Minister update the House on when…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…closely on the Health Committee when I arrived in this House in 2001. We send our deepest condolences to David’s family. There is more work…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…will mark the 25th anniversary of 9/11—a moment to remember the nearly 3,000 people who died, including 67 British citizens. There will be a ceremonial…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…UK. In Cornwall alone during the last decade, more than half a billion pounds of taxpayers’ money has been handed out to second home owners…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…and the 97, but a law that ensures that the state serves millions of working people and always gives a voice to those who fight…
Every settled listing
newest first · 6 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 24, 2025 | Thousand / Million / Billion 15+ times | No | |
| Dec 17, 2025 | Thousand / Million / Billion 15+ times | Yes | |
| Dec 10, 2025 | Thousand / Million / Billion 15+ times | Yes | |
| Dec 3, 2025 | Thousand / Million / Billion 15+ times | Yes | |
| Nov 26, 2025 | Thousand / Million / Billion 15+ times | No | |
| Nov 19, 2025 | Thousand / Million / Billion 15+ times | Yes |
Questions
- How often is “Thousand / Million / Billion 15+ times” said at the Prime Minister's Questions?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “Thousand / Million / Billion” was said 15+ times at the Prime Minister's Questions on 4 of 6 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Nov 19, 2025 (67%), most recently on Dec 17, 2025.
- What is the probability “Thousand / Million / Billion 15+ times” is said at the Prime Minister's Questions next time?
- 46%, from settlement history (n=6). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Prime Minister's Questions: ‘Thousand / Million / Billion 15+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/prime-ministers-questions/words/billion-or-million-or-thousand-15plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=billion%20%2F%20million%20%2F%20thousand%20%2815%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP