Will “Thousand / Million / Billion” be said 15+ times at the next Prime Minister's Questions?

As of Oct 25, 2026, “Thousand / Million / Billion” was said 15+ times at the Prime Minister's Questions on 4 of 6 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Nov 19, 2025 (67%), most recently on Dec 17, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 46% (n=6, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 PMQs we have transcripts for (Jun 24, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (15+, named speaker only) in 1 of them.

46%from settlement history only · n=6counts: named speaker only
Last 10
4/6Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes yes yes no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Prime Minister's Questions

Thousand / Million / Billion 15+ times

Probability
46% · n=6
Settled
4/6 (67%)
Last 8 PMQs
said in 1 of 3 that name the speakers

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Alex McIntyre (Gloucester) (Lab)otherPrime Minister's Questions, 21 October 2026 · Oct 21, 2026In transcript

…warranty does not cover the lift and residents are being asked for £50,000 to fix it. Will the Prime Minister update the House on when…

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

Andy BurnhamspeakerPrime Minister's Questions, 14 October 2026 · Oct 14, 2026In transcript

…closely on the Health Committee when I arrived in this House in 2001. We send our deepest condolences to David’s family. There is more work…

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

Andy BurnhamspeakerPrime Minister's Questions, 9 September 2026 · Sep 9, 2026In transcript

…will mark the 25th anniversary of 9/11—a moment to remember the nearly 3,000 people who died, including 67 British citizens. There will be a ceremonial…

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

Andrew George (St Ives) (LD)otherPrime Minister's Questions, 2 September 2026 · Sep 2, 2026In transcript

…UK. In Cornwall alone during the last decade, more than half a billion pounds of taxpayers’ money has been handed out to second home owners…

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

Keir StarmerspeakerPrime Minister's Questions, 15 July 2026 · Jul 15, 2026In transcript

…and the 97, but a law that ensures that the state serves millions of working people and always gives a voice to those who fight…

What will Andy Burnham say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event? · not listed

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What will Andy Burnham say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event? · not listed

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What will Andy Burnham say during Prime Minister's Questions? · not listed

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What will Andy Burnham say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event? · not listed

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What will Andy Burnham say during Prime Minister's Questions? · not listed

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What will Andy Burnham say during Prime Minister's Questions? · not listed

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What will Andy Burnham say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event? · not listed

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What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 6 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Dec 24, 2025Thousand / Million / Billion 15+ timesPolymarketNo
Dec 17, 2025Thousand / Million / Billion 15+ timesPolymarketYes
Dec 10, 2025Thousand / Million / Billion 15+ timesPolymarketYes
Dec 3, 2025Thousand / Million / Billion 15+ timesPolymarketYes
Nov 26, 2025Thousand / Million / Billion 15+ timesPolymarketNo
Nov 19, 2025Thousand / Million / Billion 15+ timesPolymarketYes

Questions

How often is “Thousand / Million / Billion 15+ times” said at the Prime Minister's Questions?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Thousand / Million / Billion” was said 15+ times at the Prime Minister's Questions on 4 of 6 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Nov 19, 2025 (67%), most recently on Dec 17, 2025.
What is the probability “Thousand / Million / Billion 15+ times” is said at the Prime Minister's Questions next time?
46%, from settlement history (n=6). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Prime Minister's Questions: ‘Thousand / Million / Billion 15+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/prime-ministers-questions/words/billion-or-million-or-thousand-15plus (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=billion%20%2F%20million%20%2F%20thousand%20%2815%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP