Will “Ally / Allied” be said at the next Prime Minister's Questions?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Ally / Allied” was said at the Prime Minister's Questions on 2 of 3 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jan 21, 2026 (67%), most recently on Jan 28, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 45% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 PMQs we have transcripts for (Jun 24, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0 of them.
- Last 10
- 2/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Prime Minister's Questions
Ally / Allied
- Probability
- 45% · n=3
- Settled
- 2/3 (67%)
- Last 8 PMQs
- said in 0 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…in this way is beyond the pale? Will he work with European allies to prevent Elon Musk from obtaining the licences that he wants, because…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…to know his position, as do President Zelensky and our brave Ukrainian allies. So let me ask the Prime Minister this: does he not agree…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…disagreements between successive UK Governments and Israel, it has remained a steadfast ally in counter-terrorist efforts to keep our people safe in this country. We…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…the Prime Minister, who is attending the NATO summit. Working with our allies, we are strengthening Europe’s role in the alliance, which remains the cornerstone…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…how hard it is when relationships break down with close friends and allies, and when even our next door neighbour barely speaks to us some…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2026 | Ally / Allied |  Polymarket | No |
| Jan 28, 2026 | Ally / Allied | Polymarket | Yes |
| Jan 21, 2026 | Ally / Allied | Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often is “Ally / Allied” said at the Prime Minister's Questions?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “Ally / Allied” was said at the Prime Minister's Questions on 2 of 3 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jan 21, 2026 (67%), most recently on Jan 28, 2026.
- What is the probability “Ally / Allied” is said at the Prime Minister's Questions next time?
- 45%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Prime Minister's Questions: ‘Ally / Allied’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/prime-ministers-questions/words/allied-or-ally (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=allied%20%2F%20ally · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP