Will “Affordable / Affordability” be said at the next Prime Minister's Questions?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Affordable / Affordability” was said at the Prime Minister's Questions on 2 of 3 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jan 21, 2026 (67%), most recently on Feb 11, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 46% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 PMQs we have transcripts for (Jun 24, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2 of them.
- Last 10
- 2/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
- Market
- 20¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Prime Minister's Questions
Affordable / Affordability
- Probability
- 46% · n=3
- Settled
- 2/3 (67%)
- Last 8 PMQs
- said in 2 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…worse off. Roberta from Martock told me yesterday that people need more affordable homes, but slashing funding will not build a single one. Will the…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…in the country, including her constituents in Bath, can benefit from clean, affordable and locally generated energy. If she wishes to have a meeting with…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…rights in a generation. We kick-started the biggest boost to social and affordable house building, and wherever people live, they deserve a safe, secure home…
…proud that this Government are delivering the biggest boost to social and affordable housing in a generation. That is backed by £39 billion, and it…
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2026 | Affordable / Affordability |  Polymarket | Yes |
| Jan 28, 2026 | Affordable / Affordability | Polymarket | No |
| Jan 21, 2026 | Affordable / Affordability | Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often is “Affordable / Affordability” said at the Prime Minister's Questions?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Affordable / Affordability” was said at the Prime Minister's Questions on 2 of 3 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jan 21, 2026 (67%), most recently on Feb 11, 2026.
- What is the probability “Affordable / Affordability” is said at the Prime Minister's Questions next time?
- 46%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Prime Minister's Questions: ‘Affordable / Affordability’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/prime-ministers-questions/words/affordability-or-affordable (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=affordability%20%2F%20affordable · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP