Mark Rutte: Keynote, Jun 24, 2025
Polymarket What will Mark Rutte say during NATO Public Forum Address on June 24?
Markets
16 words · 7 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Deadlock | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Defense 20+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Drone | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Poland | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Russia / Ukraine 10+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Cyberattack / Cyber Attack | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Dome | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| F-35 | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Lethal | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| NATO 30+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Nazi / Hitler | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| nuclear | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Slovakia | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-mark-rutte-say-during-nato-public-forum-address-on-june-24 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP