Will Donald Trump say “Terminate / Terminated”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Terminate / Terminated” at 1 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jun 20, 2026 (33%), most recently on Jun 19, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 40% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), since fewer than 2 interviews have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 4. 1 later appearance without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 1/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Terminate / Terminated
- Probability
- 40% · n=3
- Settled
- 1/3 (33%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 4 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…and millions of barrels of oil a week. And in Iran, I terminated the Barack Hussein Obama's JCPOA or the Iran nuclear deal, one of…
terminated Barack Hussein Obama's JCPOA or the Iran nuclear deal as some people call it, which was a road to a nuclear weapon for Iran.…
…vote to pack the Supreme Court because by doing that, they can terminate a thing called your Second Amendment. And uh she wants to do…
…It was a big source of delivery. And three months ago, we terminated the leader of the Venezuelan gang, Tren de Aragua Mexico is the…
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2026 | Terminate / Terminated |  Kalshi | No |
| Jun 24, 2026 | Terminate / Terminated | Kalshi | No |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Terminate / Terminated | Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Terminate / Terminated”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Terminate / Terminated” at 1 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jun 20, 2026 (33%), most recently on Jun 19, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Terminate / Terminated” next time?
- 40%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Terminate / Terminated’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/terminate-or-terminated (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=terminate%20%2F%20terminated · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP