Will Donald Trump say “Tax Cut”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Tax Cut” at 1 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jan 7, 2025 (20%), most recently on May 4, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 27% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 1/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 3 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Tax Cut
- Probability
- 27% · n=5
- Settled
- 1/5 (20%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…Republican Congress, I signed the great big beautiful bill delivering the largest tax cuts in American history. I did it in my first term also,…
…be. It's our capital. It should be right. I signed the largest tax cuts in American history with the great big beautiful bill including no…
…really am on the ballot because we did so many things. Greatest tax cuts, the strongest border we've ever had, all these things. And it…
…regulation and obstacle to doing business in America. We passed the largest tax cuts in American history, and as a result, more money is being…
Every settled listing
newest first · 5 shown
Kalshi
PolymarketQuestions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Tax Cut”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Tax Cut” at 1 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jan 7, 2025 (20%), most recently on May 4, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Tax Cut” next time?
- 27%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Tax Cut’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/tax-cut (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=tax%20cut · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP