Will Donald Trump say “Tax” 25+ times?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Tax” 25+ times at 3 of 3 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Oct 26, 2024 (100%), most recently on Oct 16, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 64% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 rallies we have transcripts for (Aug 10, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (25+, named speaker only) in 2. 1 later rally without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 3/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 3 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Tax 25+ times
- Probability
- 64% · n=3
- Settled
- 3/3 (100%)
- Last 8 rallies
- said in 2 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…Republican Congress, I signed the great big beautiful bill delivering the largest tax cuts in American history. I did it in my first term also,…
…be. It's our capital. It should be right. I signed the largest tax cuts in American history with the great big beautiful bill including no…
…really am on the ballot because we did so many things. Greatest tax cuts, the strongest border we've ever had, all these things. And it…
…not why he did it. But to Americans across the country, your tax dollars are being stolen, and your tax dollars are being stolen from…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…regulation and obstacle to doing business in America. We passed the largest tax cuts in American history, and as a result, more money is being…
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Tax 25+ times |  Polymarket | Yes |
| Oct 5, 2026 | Tax 25+ times | Polymarket | Yes |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Tax 25+ times | Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Tax 25+ times”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Tax” 25+ times at 3 of 3 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Oct 26, 2024 (100%), most recently on Oct 16, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Tax 25+ times” next time?
- 64%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Tax 25+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/tax-25plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=tax%20%2825%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP