Will Donald Trump say “Obliterate / Obliterated”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Obliterate / Obliterated” at any of the 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 14, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 38% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 0/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 3 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Obliterate / Obliterated
- Probability
- 38% · n=3
- Settled
- 0/3 (0%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…to a nuclear weapon for Iran. It was a horrible deal. We obliterated Iran's nuclear enrichment capacity with Operation Midnight Hammer. You remember that? Late…
…to a the number one state sponsor of terror Iran so we obliterated Iran's nuclear enrichment capacity with operation midnight hammer and operation epic fuel…
…Iran. I terminated that was a road to a nuclear weapon. We obliterated Iran's nuclear enrichment capacity with Operation Midnight Hammer, a beautiful operation, and…
…refused. They absolutely refused. That was a big mistake Then in Operation Midnight Hammer, the U.S. military obliterated their nuclear program beneath mountains of rubble.
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2026 | Obliterate / Obliterated |  Kalshi | No |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Obliterate / Obliterated | Kalshi | No |
| Jan 14, 2026 | Obliterate / Obliterated | Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Obliterate / Obliterated”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Obliterate / Obliterated” at any of the 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 14, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Obliterate / Obliterated” next time?
- 38%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Obliterate / Obliterated’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/obliterate-or-obliterated (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=obliterate%20%2F%20obliterated · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP