Will Donald Trump say “MAGA” 5+ times?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “MAGA” 5+ times at any of the 3 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Aug 17, 2024. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 48% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 rallies we have transcripts for (Aug 10, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (5+, named speaker only) in 1. 1 later rally without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 0/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 3 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
MAGA 5+ times
- Probability
- 48% · n=3
- Settled
- 0/3 (0%)
- Last 8 rallies
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
Okay. MAGA GOP on Trump. In the 2024 election versus Kla Harris, he got 99% of the MAGA GOP vote. Perhaps surprisingly, I might have…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…science. It's 49 percent less. If I can get my voters -- MAGA, Republicans, whatever you want to call them, if they get out to…
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2024 | MAGA 5+ times |  Polymarket | No |
| Sep 18, 2024 | MAGA 5+ times | Polymarket | No |
| Aug 17, 2024 | MAGA 5+ times | Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “MAGA 5+ times”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “MAGA” 5+ times at any of the 3 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Aug 17, 2024.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “MAGA 5+ times” next time?
- 48%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘MAGA 5+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/maga-5plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=maga%20%285%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP