Will Donald Trump say “Khamenei / Son”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Khamenei / Son” at 1 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 9, 2026 (33%), most recently on Mar 9, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 34% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), since fewer than 2 episodes have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 4.
- Last 10
- 1/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Khamenei / Son
- Probability
- 34% · n=3
- Settled
- 1/3 (33%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 4 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…and dead. You know, I spoke to some of the parents. Their son was dead. They knew he was dead, but they wanted him back.…
…that beautiful places and the parents would get a call, please, your son is dead. Your son was killed while watching and looking at the…
…bit higher. Every American who has an aging parent or a young son or daughter has felt the anxiety of knowing that those you love…
…for I voted for that man. Don't you ever do that again, son. I still love you, son. Hard to believe, isn't it? 13 days…
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2026 | Khamenei / Son |  Kalshi | No |
| Mar 9, 2026 | Khamenei / Son | Kalshi | Yes |
| Mar 9, 2026 | Khamenei / Son | Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Khamenei / Son”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Khamenei / Son” at 1 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 9, 2026 (33%), most recently on Mar 9, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Khamenei / Son” next time?
- 34%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Khamenei / Son’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/khamenei-or-son (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=khamenei%20%2F%20son · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP