Will Donald Trump say “Illegal immigration”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Illegal immigration” at 2 of 3 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Aug 15, 2024 (67%), most recently on Sep 4, 2024. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 36% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), since fewer than 2 interviews have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2. 1 later appearance without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 2/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Illegal immigration
- Probability
- 36% · n=3
- Settled
- 2/3 (67%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 2 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…looking at some of these guys, these thugs. They're not students. It's illegal immigration is what it is. It's people coming into a country that…
…extraordinary heritage in all of history. There is no human right to illegal immigration, but there is a right to remain a sovereign nation, and…
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 4, 2024 | Illegal immigration |  Polymarket | No |
| Sep 4, 2024 | Illegal immigration | Polymarket | Yes |
| Aug 15, 2024 | Illegal Immigration | Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Illegal immigration”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Illegal immigration” at 2 of 3 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Aug 15, 2024 (67%), most recently on Sep 4, 2024.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Illegal immigration” next time?
- 36%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Illegal immigration’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/illegal-immigration (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=illegal%20immigration · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP