Will Donald Trump say “Hotel”?
As of Oct 23, 2026, Donald Trump said “Hotel” at 1 of 3 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Nov 21, 2025 (33%), most recently on Oct 2, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 53% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 rallies we have transcripts for (Aug 10, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.
53%from settlement history only · n=3counts: named speaker only
- Last 10
- 1/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Updated
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Hotel
- Probability
- 53% · n=3
- Settled
- 1/3 (33%)
- Last 8 rallies
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown
PolymarketQuestions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Hotel”?
- As of Oct 23, 2026, Donald Trump said “Hotel” at 1 of 3 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Nov 21, 2025 (33%), most recently on Oct 2, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Hotel” next time?
- 53%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Hotel’ mention history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/hotel (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=hotel · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP