Will Donald Trump say “Hispanic”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Hispanic” at 2 of 3 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Aug 30, 2024 (67%), most recently on Apr 15, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 40% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), since fewer than 2 interviews have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 4. 1 later appearance without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 2/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearanceDonald Trump
Hispanic
- Probability
- 40% · n=3
- Settled
- 2/3 (67%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 4 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…history. Poverty. So, income, poverty, more jobs. Here's another one. African-American poverty, Hispanic American poverty, Asian-American poverty, Native American poverty rates are at the best…
…what the hell do I have to keep talking for? African-American poverty, Hispanic American poverty, Native American poverty rates are all at the best levels…
…the lowest it's ever been, but reaches best ever. and AfricanAmerican poverty, Hispanic American poverty and Native American poverty rates are at their best levels…
…out of poverty last year alone. Another record, the African American and Hispanic American poverty rates are at all time lows. Real household incomes for…
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shownQuestions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Hispanic”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Hispanic” at 2 of 3 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Aug 30, 2024 (67%), most recently on Apr 15, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Hispanic” next time?
- 40%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Hispanic’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/hispanic (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=hispanic · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP