Will Donald Trump say “George Washington”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “George Washington” at 1 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jul 4, 2025 (33%), most recently on Aug 8, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 41% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 1/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
George Washington
- Probability
- 41% · n=3
- Settled
- 1/3 (33%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…those stories. They're terrible stories to tell as president." Can you imagine George Washington telling these story? No. Because George Washington lived in sanity. He…
…ever, ever surrender. It was right here in New York City that George Washington ordered the Declaration of Independence read to his troops in 1776…
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2025 | George Washington |  Kalshi | No |
| Aug 8, 2025 | George Washington | Kalshi | Yes |
| Jul 4, 2025 | George Washington |  Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “George Washington”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “George Washington” at 1 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jul 4, 2025 (33%), most recently on Aug 8, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “George Washington” next time?
- 41%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘George Washington’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/george-washington (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=george%20washington · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP