Will Donald Trump say “Gas”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Gas” at 3 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jul 15, 2025 (75%), most recently on Nov 19, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 53% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 4 keynotes we have transcripts for (Jun 26, 2026 – Jul 15, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2. 1 later keynote without a transcript yet (Oct 8, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 3/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Gas
- Probability
- 53% · n=4
- Settled
- 3/4 (75%)
- Last 4 keynotes
- said in 2 of 4
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…riding in and back and I'm looking at I'm looking at the gas pumps and I'm looking at the top said $185 a gallon. The…
…going to wherever I was going, I looked over and passed two gas stations and I looked at the top of the pumps and it…
Interest rates are very soon going to be falling just like oil, gas, everything's going to be. We watch what's going to be happening very…
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Gas”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Gas” at 3 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jul 15, 2025 (75%), most recently on Nov 19, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Gas” next time?
- 53%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Gas’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/gas (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=gas · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP