Will Donald Trump say “Gang”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Gang” at 2 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Sep 4, 2024 (67%), most recently on Oct 15, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 42% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 2 press conferences we have transcripts for (Jun 17, 2026 – Jul 8, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 2/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Gang
- Probability
- 42% · n=3
- Settled
- 2/3 (67%)
- Last 2 press conferences
- said in 0 of 2
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…other administrations allowed much of this region to be dominated by vicious gangs and bloodthirsty drug cartels, destabilized by uncontrolled migration and infiltrated by hostile…
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown
Kalshi
PolymarketQuestions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Gang”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Gang” at 2 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Sep 4, 2024 (67%), most recently on Oct 15, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Gang” next time?
- 42%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Gang’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/gang (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=gang · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP