Will Donald Trump say “Fake News” 3+ times?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Fake News” 3+ times at 5 of 5 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Sep 13, 2024 (100%), most recently on Oct 29, 2024. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 48% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 rallies we have transcripts for (Aug 10, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (3+, named speaker only) in 4. 1 later rally without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 5/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 5 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Fake News 3+ times
- Probability
- 48% · n=5
- Settled
- 5/5 (100%)
- Last 8 rallies
- said in 4 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…I mean, when you look outside and you have and I have to be careful because the fake news will say if I'm wrong, you
…quickly turned it around into what they are calling. And even the fake news back there is starting to see the number. Wow, that's a…
…hate doing it. You know what happens when I do that? The fake news back there. My wife said to me, she says hello. She…
Every settled listing
newest first · 5 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2024 | Fake News 3+ times |  Polymarket | Yes |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Fake News 3+ times | Polymarket | Yes |
| Sep 18, 2024 | Fake News 3+ times | Polymarket | Yes |
| Sep 17, 2024 | Fake News 3+ times | Polymarket | Yes |
| Sep 13, 2024 | Fake News 3+ times | Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Fake News 3+ times”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Fake News” 3+ times at 5 of 5 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Sep 13, 2024 (100%), most recently on Oct 29, 2024.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Fake News 3+ times” next time?
- 48%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Fake News 3+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/fake-new-3plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=fake%20new%20%283%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP