Will Donald Trump say “Emergency”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Emergency” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Apr 14, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 41% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Emergency
- Probability
- 41% · n=2
- Settled
- 0/2 (0%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…really loves you a lot. A lot. We also gave Iowa an emergency waiver to sell E15 all year round. And with Ashley in the…
…your grandmother fraudulent links. They're the ones emailing your mom with fake emergencies that don't really exist. And they're the ones impersonating law enforcement officers…
…recently. You're going to see it. But I also declared a national emergency on energy and terminated the Green New Scam. One of the greatest…
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown
Polymarket
KalshiQuestions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Emergency”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Emergency” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Apr 14, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Emergency” next time?
- 41%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Emergency’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/emergency (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=emergency · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP