Will Donald Trump say “Biden / Obama”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Biden / Obama” at 5 of 6 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Nov 12, 2025 (83%), most recently on Aug 3, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 47% (n=6, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 3.
- Last 10
- 5/6Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Biden / Obama
- Probability
- 47% · n=6
- Settled
- 5/6 (83%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 3 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…media. You know, I was telling him the other night I imitated Biden on the stage where he used to walk off walls and could…
…actually zero in 17 months. Who can believe it, right? Remember Joe Biden said we'd have to go to Congress to get a change. I…
Yeah. Sure, sure. We had a wonderful man who, during the Biden administration, was taken hostage in Russia. They claimed things -- we won't get…
…run in South Carolina? Am I in a different state? Maybe like Biden. Remember, he was in Florida and he thought he was in Maine.…
…look, it's been going on for a long time. But in the Biden administration, it was sick. Nick used his popular YouTube channel to reveal…
Every settled listing
newest first · 6 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 3, 2026 | Biden / Obama |  Polymarket | Yes | 9 |
| May 19, 2026 | Biden / Obama | Polymarket | No | – |
| Dec 19, 2025 | Biden/Obama | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Dec 17, 2025 | Biden / Obama | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Dec 16, 2025 | Biden / Obama | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Nov 12, 2025 | Biden / Obama | Polymarket | Yes | – |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Biden / Obama”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Biden / Obama” at 5 of 6 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Nov 12, 2025 (83%), most recently on Aug 3, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Biden / Obama” next time?
- 47%, from settlement history (n=6). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Biden / Obama’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/biden-or-obama (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=biden%20%2F%20obama · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP